Mandatory Mechanisms

Embodied Carbon Limits For Basic Materials

Restrictions set on the carbon intensity associated with the use of input materials (e.g. steel or concrete) or chemicals, calculated in terms of the carbon emissions per unit of output.

01. Overview

Embodied Carbon Limits For Basic Materials

These policies could either:

  • Set a limit on the carbon intensity that applies to all basicmaterials sold, thereby indirectly influencing demand to shift towards lower-carbon materials. Such a policy could beused to gradually limit market access for the most pollutingproducts, rather than directly creating an early market for deep decarbonisation technologies.
  • Or set a limit to reduce emissions intensity at a sectorallevel, which would allow a range of incremental and deepdecarbonisation options to come into play.

In either case, due to the limited availability of low or near-zerosolutions, it is likely such limits would need to be set close tocurrent emissions levels, and gradually reduced.

‍

02. Sectors

Demand creation potential rating by sector

We have developed an indicative rating of the green demand creation potential of each policy by sector, based on the share of demand it can apply to, and its potential impact on a business case. Depending on local/national context this may be more or less impactful in different sectors. This policy could be applied in the chemicals, aluminium, and cement and steel sectors.

N/A
Demand coverage
High
Medium
Low
Impact on business case
High
Medium
Low
N/A
Demand coverage
High
Medium
Low
Impact on business case
High
Medium
Low
Medium
Demand coverage
High
Medium
Low
This could be set on an economy wide basis.
Impact on business case
High
Medium
Low
Life cycle emissions targets could support decarbonisation of bulk chemical uses.
Medium
Demand coverage
High
Medium
Low
This could be applied to all aluminium produced in a given jurisdiction.
Impact on business case
High
Medium
Low
Given such a standard would apply across a sector, it will be challenging to set aggressive carbon limit reduction rates before 2030.
Medium
Demand coverage
High
Medium
Low
This could be applied to all cement/concrete produced in a given jurisdiction.
Impact on business case
High
Medium
Low
Given such a standard would apply across a sector, it will be challenging to set aggressive carbon limit reduction rates before 2030.
Medium
Demand coverage
High
Medium
Low
This could be applied to all iron/steel produced in a given jurisdiction.
Impact on business case
High
Medium
Low
Challenges include setting aggressive carbon intensity reduction rates across a sector before 2030.
03.

Key Attributes: Embodied Carbon Limits For Basic Materials

Carbon leakage risk

Depending on design
Low
Medium
High

This could be high if limits are applied at the point of production, as buyers may decide to source cheaper basic materials from jurisdictions with less stringent environmental regulations. However, if applied at the point of sale, the limits could be applied to both domestic and imported goods, thereby lowering the risks of carbon leakage.

Technology agnostic

Depending on design
Specific
Some flexibility
Agnostic

Embodied carbon limits would apply to specific categories of intermediary products, but would not specify the technology or production pathway through which this is achieved - so can provide some flexibility. In practice, if very low limits are set, it will likely limit options.

Ability to ramp up over time

Depending on design
Low
Medium
High

Limits could be gradually tightened over time, progressively ensuring deeper decarbonisation of basic materials.

Burden of cost

Depending on design
Government
Shared
Companies /consumers

Buyers bear the burden of incurring additional costs that come with procuring lower carbon products. This could disproportionately impact smaller/intermediary businesses and lower margin industries with lower ability to absorb the cost, hold inventory, or secure guaranteed offtake.

Long-term stability

Depending on design
3 – 5 yrs
5 – 15 yrs
20 – 30 yrs

Embodied carbon limits for basic materials can be put in place with a long-term horizon, creating a stable trajectory to increasingly support industrial decarbonisation.

Complexity

Depending on design
Low
Medium
High

To ensure the success of these policies, governments need robust systems in place to facilitate emissions reporting; measurement; monitoring; and enforcement. Additionally, they would need to evaluate the impact on industrial competitiveness and on downstream sectors, and potentially implement supporting measures to complement the limits.

04.

Deep Dives & Case Studies

Embodied Carbon Limits for Basic Materials

Decarbonisation levers incentivised by policy

(see lever details in Annex 1)

‍

Key
Directly incentivised
Indirectly incentivised
Not incentivised
Chemicals
Efficiency of use
Blue H₂
Green H₂
Maritime
Efficiency of use
SZEF
Label
Aviation
Efficiency of use
Bio-SAF
E-SAF
Steel
Efficiency of use
Recycling
Decarbonised virgin steel production (e.g. via CCUS/ H₂DRI)
Cement
Efficiency of use
Low carbon production (e.g. via SCMs, CCUS)
Label
Aluminium
Efficiency of use
Recycling
Low/near-zero carbon primary 
production

1: Steel & Cement - Efficiency of use: refers to the optimal use of the material to reduce the overall embodied emissions of a building/product
2: Aluminium - Low/near-zero carbon primary production: adopting production technologies with a lower carbon footprint (e.g. using clean power for aluminium smelting, inert anodes and/or mechanical vapor recompression (MVR))

‍

Key considerations

  • Material substitution: unless complemented by other policies, or measures across multiple sectors, setting embodied carbon limits on basic materials that increase overall costs may pose the risk of material substitution.This could result in emission reductions or increases over the life cycles of downstream products (e.g. they may be less recyclable/durable and result in higher whole life emissions for end products). For instance, switching to timber-based materials could lead to increased emissions associated with land use change. Therefore, it is important that such policies are complemented by measures to ensure the overall life cycle carbon emissions of downstream products is also reduced.
  • Enforcement: a regulatory body is needed to oversee the standards and compliance of carbon limits for material manufacturers and/or project developers.‍
  • ‍Implementation over time: carbon limits can take a few years to become fully effective, as both public and private stakeholders involved will need to mainstream and implement reporting practices and ensure data on products is readily available. Policymakers can first focus on mandatory disclosure of product data, before enforcing limits, and then progressively tightening the limits over time, and increasing the scope (e.g. scope of materials).
  • Impact on competitiveness: unless the limits are applied to imported products, domestically produced products, and materials in products down the value chain, the competitiveness of domestic industries could be impacted.Furthermore, the impact may be different across the supply chain. Such limits could adversely impact intermediary businesses in the supply chain that may not have guaranteed offtake or have a lower ability to hold inventory.
    ‍

Sources: Agora Industry (2024): creating markets for climate-friendly basic materials. Potentials and policy options
‍